Background
So let's presume I have discrete "indistinguishable Hamiltonians" (*translations of $H_i$ - the $i$'th Hamiltonian) as system $1$. By this we mean:
$$ \langle H_{i} (x_1,x_2, \dots,x_n) \rangle = \langle H_{j}(y_1,y_2, \dots,y_n) \rangle $$
Let the wavefunctions be $|\phi \rangle$.
These system of Hamiltonians are in thermal equilibrium. Now another system whose Hamiltonian is $H'_2$ is added which is in thermal equilibrium with the system $1$ is thermal equilibrium. The net system is now isolated. After being isolated system $2$ performs alot of measurements of energy eigenvalues. The following is the analysis of that:
The partition function of a subsystem of system $1$ be where $Z_j$ is the $j$'th partition function:
$$ Z_{j} (t_-)= \text{Tr } e^{- \beta H_j}$$
where $t_-$ is before the measurement, $\beta$ is the $(k_b T)^{-1}$ (with $T$ as temperature) and the $i$'th Hamiltonian. The probability associated is:
$$p_{i-j}(t_-) = \frac{e^{-\beta E_{i-j}}}{Z_j}$$
Notice, due to the cyclic trace property $ p_{i-j}(t_-) = p_{i-j'}(t_-)$ and $Z_{j} = Z_{j'}$ and therefore we will remove the $j$ dummy index:
$$p_{i}(t_-) = \frac{e^{-\beta E_{i}}}{Z}$$
After the measurement using the Born rule we have:
$$ p_i (t_+) = |\langle \phi | E_i \rangle|^2 = \frac{e^{-\beta_i E_i}}{Z(t_+)}$$
where $| E_i \rangle$ is an energy eigenket and $Z(t_+)$ is given by:
$$ Z(t_+) = \sum_i e^{-\beta_i E_i}$$
The measurement being an irreversible process causes the system to get out of thermal equilibrium hence the $\beta_i$. To determine $\beta_i$ we take log:
$$ - \ln |\langle \phi | E_i \rangle|^2 = \sum_j \beta_j E_j - \beta_i E_i $$
Summing over $i$ to N both sides (where $ \sum_i E^0 = \sum_i p_i^0 = N$):
$$ - \ln \prod_i |\langle \phi | E_i \rangle|^2 = (N-1)\sum_i \beta_i E_i $$
Hence,
$$ - (N-1)\ln |\langle \phi | E_i \rangle|^2 = - \ln \prod_j |\langle \phi | E_j \rangle|^2 - (N-1)\beta_i E_i $$
$$\implies N\ln |\langle \phi | E_i \rangle|^2 + \ln \prod_{j \neq i} (1- \sum_{k \neq j}|\langle \phi | E_k \rangle|^2) = - (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$
Writing in terms of probability**:
$$\implies N\ln p_i + \ln \prod_{j \neq i} (1- \sum_{k \neq j}p_k) = - (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$
Taking the derivative:
$$\implies N \frac{dp_i}{p_i} - \sum_{j \neq i} \sum_{k \neq j} \frac{ d p_j}{ (1- p_k)} = - (N-1)( E_i d\beta_i + \beta_i d E_i )$$
Now, $\frac{dp_i}{dt} \to 0$ hence,
$$ \frac{d \beta}{dt} \to 0 $$
and
$$ \frac{d E_i}{dt} \to 0 $$
Dividing by $d p_i$:
$$\implies \frac{N}{p_i} - \sum_{j \neq i} \sum_{k \neq j} \frac{ 1}{ (1- p_k)} \frac{d p_j}{dp_i} = - (N-1) ( E_i \frac{d\beta_i}{d p_i} + \beta_i \frac{d E_i}{d p_i} )$$
Question
Is this theoretically sound? If so, is it possible to experimentally verify this equation?
Edit (My attempt to solve)
Continuing from **:
$$\implies N \ln (1- \sum_{j \neq i} p_j )+ \sum_{j \neq i} \ln (1- \sum_{k \neq j}p_k) = - (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$
Taylor expanding $1$ term:
$$\implies -N \sum_{j \neq i} p_j - \sum_{j \neq i} \sum_{k \neq j}p_k \approx - (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$
$$\implies \sum_{j \neq i} (N p_j + \sum_{k \neq j}p_k) \approx (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$
$$\implies \sum_{j \neq i} ( p_j (p_j+\sum_{k \neq j} (p_j + p_k)) \approx (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$
$$\implies \sum_{j \neq i} p_j (1+\sum_{k \neq j} p_j ) \approx (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$
Expanding:
$$\implies 1- p_i + (N-1) \sum_{j \neq i} (p_j )^2 \approx (N-1) \beta_i E_i $$